Nov 28, 2008

Motorola The Falling Star


In the past I have had minimal dealings with the Motorola organization and each time their arrogance left me with a desire to find someone else to work with. I only grieve for the workers being jettisoned from this sinking ship.

From InternetNews.com: “Gartner's market analysis for mobile handset makers, released today, now rates Motorola (NYSE: MOT) in fourth place behind Nokia, Samsung and Sony Ericsson in global sales.”
Motorola Slips in Worldwide Sales

From the chicagotribune.com: “Motorola reported a net loss of $397 million, or 18 cents a share, in the third quarter, down from a net profit of $60 million, or 3 cents a share, in the same period last year.”
Motorola posts hefty 3Q loss, delays spinoff

From USA Today: ”The maker of communications gear said it would get rid of 3,000 jobs by April, with about 2,000 of them coming from the cellphone unit. The company last announced 2,600 job cuts in April.”
Motorola posts big loss, plans to cut 3,000 jobs

From cnet.com: “The iconic American technology company Motorola is in big trouble. But can a last ditch effort by a new top executive help the company pull one of the biggest comebacks in American business history?”
Motorola's struggle for survival

From BusinessWeek: “The company's falling star at AT&T, the largest U.S. mobile-phone carrier, underscores Motorola's persistent failure to release handsets that grab the attention of consumers and the service providers whose marketing is crucial to sales.”
Motorola's Market Share Mess

From rerwireless.com: “It will eliminate about 120 of the 600 positions in Motorola Labs, the unit responsible for basic research in everything from cellphones to radio technology,…”
Moto to cut jobs from R&D unit

More
thin gray line articles

Nov 27, 2008

Citi Is A Town Full Of Problems


Their exposure doesn't stop with sub-prime, with hundreds of billions in off-the-books liability, they still have hard times in front of them. Substantial problems in commercial paper, credit cards and autos are still to come, where do they go from here?

From an AP article on RGJ.com: “The government has decided that guaranteeing hundreds of billions of dollars in possible losses and injecting $20 billion more into Citi trumps the alternative: a panic that could leave retirement accounts and investment portfolios of millions of ordinary Americans in tatters and shove more people out of jobs.”
Analysis: Why Citi had to be rescued

View from the Radcliff India: “There's only one reason to agree to such terms, says Ellison: to stay alive."There are capitalists all over the place, but no one wanted to do the deal," he adds. "This is chemo. They need this capital to stay alive."”
If Citi's in such a mess, what about other banks?

From the WSJ online: “The Bush administration's rescue of
Citigroup Inc. is creating new confusion about the government strategy to shore up volatile markets.”
Uncertainty on Strategy in Citi Rescue

From the Arab News: “Citibank went into overseas markets long before its competitors and often secured an inside track by attending to the financial needs of government elites and leading local organizations.”
Editorial: Implications of Citibank bailout


From an AP article in the Columbus Dispatch: “Citigroup Inc. said yesterday that it will slash 53,000 more jobs in the coming months… Earlier this year, the New York-based financial giant trimmed 22,000 jobs.”
Citigroup shedding 53,000 positions

Citibank is cutting another 53,000 from its payroll, on top of the 22,000 job cuts it has already announced. This follows at least 17,000 last year.

Previous Citibank articles

Nov 7, 2008

The Insult Is Complete At LandAmerica


In August of 2007 I wrote an article, LandAmerica Leaves Much To Be Admired, little did I know that my LandAmerica article would have such a lasting quality. There may be only 11 comments but the consistency tells a condemning story of a company whose management can guide the ship during calm seas but are clueless as soon as the seas get rough.

It looks as if the final insult to the good people at LandAmerica will come from the $150 million in synergies Fidelity National will achieve
(from their Press Release) by this merger. To me it doesn’t look like a merger, it looks as if Fidelity is buying their accounts & agents and will be laying off the majority of LandAmerica’s staff that still remains after a year of endless layoffs.

As much as I dislike giving attorneys money, it would seem prudent for the LandAmerica employees to secure legal consul to ensure that they receive any and all compensation promised. At this point of the merger any legal action would have to be dealt with expeditiously. If anyone has retained consul, please post their consuls contact information on the comment section below so others may join as a group.

Good Luck and Best Wishes to all of LandAmerica’s staff.

Oct 9, 2008

Some Unexpected Good News For The Economy

One and a half years ago I criticized numerous economists for their rosy opinions of our economy. Life is great and there is nothing to worry about from here to eternity. There were hundreds of economists snubbing those of us posting our opinions that there were clear and distinctive warning signs that the leveraging taking place by the biggest and most successful investments banks, Freddie & Fannie and a handful of brokers, like Countrywide or New Century that wanted to act like an investment bank, were in serious trouble.

But last week Phil Izzo printed the results from a team of 56 economists that comprise the Wall Street Journal Economist Board. The board believes by a margin of 89% that we are headed into a recession of at least 2 quarters. That is negative GDP for 6 straight months; some believe that it will last longer.

That is the best news I’ve heard in a long time because this is the same board was wrong about the effects that the housing downturn. If they were wrong then it’s a good bet that they are wrong now. I’m going out and buying options for January.

Oct 5, 2008

What Is A Derivative

No one is asking the right questions.

Since the government has now committed to purchase $700,000,000,000 (I think I’ve gotten all the zeros right) in the toxic paper that the banks, domestic and foreign, are holding as assets on their books, I felt it was time to give my vast audience my view of what the government will be purchasing with our tax dollars.


Dictionary.com explains simply: a financial contract whose value derives from the value of underlying stocks, bonds, currencies, commodities, etc. Riskglossary.com defines derivative as: A derivative instrument (or simply derivative) is a financial instrument which derives its value from the value of some other financial instrument or variable.

OK, that tells us that a derivative is a contract-on-a-contract. But what is in these contracts that the average American will now own. Why have the banks cut the value in financial instruments to the point that causes them to go out of business?

Money was raised for home and commercial mortgages by issuing bonds. The banks that originated the mortgage would sell it to someone like Fannie, Freddie or one of the other commercial banks. They would bundle the mortgages and send them to the rating agencies. The rating agencies would rate the best of the bunch as AAA and the rest could be divided up into 15 lower ratings. Since many pension funds, insurance companies, financial institutions or investment groups require a AAA rating on the bonds they purchase, the lower rated bonds have to pay a premium interest rate to entice the sale of these bonds.


That’s where derivatives come in. Thanks to the Community Reinvestment Act of 1977 and its’ reworking in 1995, Congress allowed the banks to become more inventive with the way they sell and fund mortgages. The lower rated bonds are re-bundled with other contracts that could be anything from options and warrants (a contract allowing the purchase of stock at a future date at a specified price), or other types of debt obligations to other bonds themselves. This process snowed the rating agencies to re-rate 96% of the lower rated securities as AAA.

We don’t know what we’re buying. We don’t know what we’re paying for it. But we’re sure it is going to work and hey, we could even make something. This is from the people that voted multiple times against increased regulations to control Fannie and Freddie.

The point is that no one is asking the right questions. The banks and the rating agencies have records to show what is in each of these bundles, but I have not heard one banker or politician ask for that information. It’s time a little light is thrown on this stuff. How can we effectively regulate if we don’t know what we’re regulating. No more free passes.

Sep 29, 2008

Congress - Trust Lost

Michael Scherer in his article, A Failure Of Leadership and posted on Time's blog Swampland, expresses what most of us know but haven't put into words yet. At least by the media.

It seems that the American people would rather face economic ruin than put their trust in today's Congress.

Vote our incumbants out.

Sep 24, 2008

E-Verify Must Be Renewed


E-mail your congressmen, find it here, now and tell them that you will never vote for them again if they do not authorize the E-Verify Bill for another five years. Not the temporary six month extension they are trying to slip through Congress that will effectively put the issue off till after the election.

E-Verify works and is one of the few programs our government does that actually protects American Jobs. Please act now. Numbers can change things, make yours count.

Democrats Preserve American Jobs With “President Obama’s” Coin


In keeping with their convention pledge to protect, promote and grow American jobs, the Democrats have contracted with Windsor, Elizabeth & Windsor, an UK company, to produce 300 limited edition commemorative silver coins for the Democratic Party to hand out to key members of the campaign to elect Obama.

By utilizing an English company to hand-craft these commemoratives, the Democrats are saving Americans the arduous task of producing these high quality keep-sakes. Since the average contribution to the Obama campaign is approximately $65, 2,300 hard working Americans have contributed to the Obama Campaign so that our Democratic Congressmen, Governors and party Dignitaries can have these valuable collectibles and admire there English craftsmanship.

After our Democratic Leadership has received these commemoratives, WEW plans to give the average American the opportunity to purchase the “Obama – The President” Commemoratives. These coins should gain considerably in value since this is the first time a Presidential Commemorative has been produced prior to the election.

This also gives the Republicans an opportunity to save the economy millions of barrels of oil by not having to drive to the polls to vote.


The picture of the commemorative being produced is from the Birmingham Post.net.

Jun 27, 2008

Dell Computer: Déjà vu 8,800 Last Year, 8,800 This Year

Last year I wrote an article: Dell Computers; Layoffs, Issues And More Layoffs. At that time I had no idea that I would be writing practically the same article this year. But Dell is like their service, consistently bad.

Dell has never given out straight forward information about their plans for staff reductions but rather they throw out a target number for the national business media and the small local layoffs get reported on in the smaller news markets around the country. The most accurate information has come from a NETWORKWORLD article by Dan Nystedt and reports that Dell has already completed 3,200 layoffs with another 5,200 happening soon.

Even though desktop computer sales improved by 10% last year, they will be closing their desk top facility in Austin, Texas and many that aren’t losing their jobs will be forced to take unpaid time off.

For more than a year Dell has been going through an audit that they claim was caused by certain departments fudging their numbers. As a result they will restate their earnings reports from 2002 through 2006 by a mere $150 million. That's a lot of fudge.

Dell is also being sued on two fronts, first for not performing on their extended warranties sold directly to customers and second for falsely advertising the terms being offered by their company owned financial arm. It has been reported that Dell’s financing division is now up for sale.

Dell, IBM, Intel, Cisco, HP and Microsoft have all gazed into the crystal ball and have seen their future in Asia and India. Doing business in the U.S. has just become too tenuous.

Jun 26, 2008

Gloucester Pregnancies – Bush Did IT!

Of course this depends on the meaning of “it”.

Earlier this week I watched the press conference held by Gloucester Mayor Carolyn Kirk concerning the high pregnancy rate at their high school. The story of a "pregnancy pact," by at least eight students, was reported on by Time Magazine who listed Principal Joseph Sullivan as their source. Since then Principal Sullivan has been mum and because of privacy concerns only several girls have come forward who claim no knowledge of a “pact.”

What amazed me about the press conference was that Mayor Kirk insinuated that sex education has been cut because of Bush’s No Child Left Behind Program. Yes, it was Bush’s fault that these girls got pregnant. Since the mandated program was under funded the school system had no choice but to cut other programs such as Sex Ed. The fact that Governor Patrick refused to accept a $700,000 funding package to help pay for abstinence training had nothing to do with it.

What would have happened if these girls took a virginity pact, for sure there would much less attention and publicity, I would also assume they wouldn’t become the Prom Queen. But then at least they would have a Prom without a baby strapped to their back.

What media ignore about teen pregnancy pact by Jill Stanek

Principal Sullivan has just issued a written public statement.

The Media Spotlight Catches Nielsen Outsourcing, Downgrading Full-Time Too Part-Time And Aggressively Abusing H-1B Visas

Theresa Blackwell penned a very good article in the St. Petersburg Times on the commitment by the powers at Nielsen to do everything possible to cut payroll. The controversy justifiably received national attention on the Lou Dobbs Show who emphasized the H-1B Visa abuse. Nielsen while putting Americans out of work is replacing the positions with H-1B Visa holders from India.

I’ve consistently written about H-1B Visa abuse and how companies, tech companies and our universities in particular, have shamelessly imported staff where there should have been more than a sufficient supply of qualified Americans to fill the positions. The only motive for the push to hire foreign staff would be to cap salary ranges.

From Ms. Blackwell’s article:

“Just four days ago, Nielsen gave up $3.1-million in future incentives for creating new jobs in Oldsmar, saying the controversy over the government money had become a distraction for employees and a source of conflict with the city.”

This would not be such a controversy or distraction if the Nielsen Company wasn’t absolutely committed to replacing U.S. workers with H-1B Visa holders.

One other point of contention that the article brings up but does not emphasize is the ratio of full time to part time employees at their Dunedin facility. With 4.4 part-time or temporary workers to every full-timer demonstrates that a desire to cut costs by cutting benefits.

Would this be the type of company you want to work for; maybe if you’re from India. You can browse the Nielsen Careers Page here.

Our Universities Have To Go Offshore To Find Talent
Companies Hiding Offshoring
LSI - More “Partnering” Lay Offs Coming To Kansas City?
Sun Micro's Jonathan Schwartz The Genius?
American Axle Moving More Jobs Out Of The U.S.
California Sending DMV Data To Mexico
Altria Optimizes Worldwide Cigarette Production
Dell Computers; Layoffs, Issues And More Layoffs
Freightliner The Long Haul From North Carolina To Mexico
IBM An Extreme View On Offshoring

Country of Origin COOL Will Finally Happen

According to the USDA website: “On May 13, 2002, the Farm Security and Rural Investment Act of 2002, more commonly known as the 2002 Farm Bill, became law.” This legislation was delayed twice and is now scheduled to be implemented September 8, this year.

The part that doesn’t make sense is that the fruit, meat and vegetables that we import are already identified, on the outside of there packaging, with the country of origin. It would be a small inconvenience to carry that information to the display. The only reasoning for not posting the Country of Origin with the product being sold would be that the retailer doesn’t want to handle the questions or comments that their customers might have.

But this is a huge step forward in the fight to keep jobs in America. Would Hershey be so aggressive in their closing of the Reading, Pa, plant if they knew that their Peppermint Patty Brand would have to be labeled “Hecho en Mexico”

Apr 29, 2008

Clinton’s Lack Of Fiscal Responsibility: Bush Forced Me To Do It

There is no recession at the Federal Pork Buffet. During the first seven years, Bush loaded up the federal buffet for all of Congress to wallow in. In FY 2008 there are 11,737 earmarks for a total of $16.9 billion of tax payers’ money allocated by congress for their individual pet projects. By requesting $2.3 billion in earmarks for FY2009, Mrs. Clinton has nearly tripled the largest amount received by any other single senator. Clinton’s office justified the requests by stating that the money is needed because of the Bush administration. So I take it that she is saying that her fiscal irresponsibility is because Bush forced her to do it.

Apr 3, 2008

Who Says Inflation Is Under Control

Consumer late payments at 16 year high. Could higher prices at the grocery check-out and at the fuel pump be putting the squeeze on our wallets?

Unemployment claims at there highest level in two years.

ATA Airlines shuts down stranding thousands and laying off 2,000. The cost of fuel was listed as one of the primary causes. Last week Aloha Airlines also shut-down operations.

Corn sets new record price of $6 per bushel. At least our all-knowing government officials tell us that inflation is under control.

Gasoline at new national record. Even with oil backing off there peaks, the cost of refined gasoline is starting its summer rise. Every spring refiners increase their crack spread (the mark-up on gasoline) to reflect the increase in demand. This process has just started.

Motorola disconnecting 2,600 more. Last year they had lay offs of 3,500 in January and 4,000 in May. During a cutting stretch in 2000 and 2001 their payroll shrank by more than 47,000 jobs.

Google planning to cut 25% in the Double-Click work force, in the U.S. that is.

Dell needs to find $3 billion more in cuts than the 8,800 they announced last year. From my article last July.

Merrill Lynch to lay off 4,000 to 7,000.

Schering-Plough will be cutting $1.5 billion a year in expenses, no estimate on how many jobs will be lost. Schering-Plough shares are down about 50 percent this year so heads have to roll.

Are you ready to pay for the poor Home Builders losses? Time to E-mail your congressmen.

NASA estimates as many as
7,300 will loose their jobs as the shuttle program ends in the next 2 ½ years.

La-Z-Boy is shipping jobs to Mexico, all of their cut and sew divisions will be relocated with no lay off estimates given.

Hamiliton Sundstrand will be completing its move to Singapore by lying off the last 65.

United Way officials in Dayton said record numbers of families are seeking emergency food assistance because of lay offs caused by the strike at Detroit-based American Axle & Manufacturing. My article: American Axle Moving More Jobs Out Of The U.S.

CBS Moves Ahead With Layoffs in News

1,500 Possible Layoffs at Freightliner Cleveland Plant. My previous article: Freightliner The Long Haul From North Carolina To Mexico

From the
CoStar web site that monitors the Fed’s watch list:

The Federal Reserve Banks moved up the planned closing of several of its check processing facilities, most of the cuts will come from permanent result work reductions.

Newsweek announced that 111 staffers on its news and business sides in New York City accepted a buyout last week.

Chromcraft Revington Inc. is progressively shifting manufacturing of products from its Delphi, IN, plant at 1100 N. Washington St. to suppliers primarily in Asia. Manufacturing activities at the Delphi facility will conclude on May 30. The reduction in force is expected to impact approximately 150 Associates at the Delphi location. Within the past 18 months, the company has closed and sold its plants in Sumter, SC, and Warrenton, NC, as well as its warehouse and distribution center in Knoxville, TN. The company also relocated its upholstery operations into its existing facilities in Lincolnton, NC, and sold its upholstery plant.


EMI Christian Music Group confirms layoffs of between 1,500 to 2,000 staffers by this June.

Long-expected layoffs begin at W.Va. steel mill, from a peak of 13,000 to 1,000 after these latest cuts. Steel mills have been devastated throughout the northeast by Asian steel and like most of the problems facing America; all the politicians do is use this issue as political fodder.

Earlier this week, Wheeling-Pitt's parent, Esmark Inc.,
announced it would shut down a mill in Allenport, Pa., and idle parts of the operation in Martins Ferry, Ohio. Those cuts could cost as many as 360 jobs.

Analysts see 200,000 banking industry layoffs in the next 18 months.

Whirlpool, a great old Mexican brand.
350 Cleveland jobs go to Mexico. Behr Climate Systems plans layoffs, plant closure. From the Germany based Behr Groups web site: “Today we are active in all major markets in Asia and take advantage of the opportunities they offer.”

Mar 17, 2008

Bear Stearns And The Fed

The question is can the Fed keep these banks afloat till after the election.

Last week BS was forced to close two of their funds that were leveraged 32 : 1. The current trend was to issue very short-term low-interest notes to pay for their higher interest debt that they had purchased, allowing them too subsequently book the difference in the interest rates as profit. When the market for these short-term notes dried up they lost their ability to redeem the ones that were coming due, creating a devastating margin call. This was the game that most of the investment banks were using to build their bottom lines over the last five years.

The next headache happens when the Fed is forced to react to inflation and raise interest rates to the point where these guys can no longer cover the cost of the longer term debt, which they are holding, with lower-rate short term money. Each time the Fed cuts rates, the game keeps going. It has only been a little over two years when the Fed started raising rates and the “biggies” started having troubles, this will happen again and again as long as the Fed feeds the cycle and prevents the unwinding of these debt instruments.

Mar 4, 2008

JCPenney’s American Living The Ultimate American Sham


JCPenny is flooding the airwaves and other marketing medium with their new line called “AmericanLiving”. The new brand is being manufactured by Polo Ralph Lauren Corp and will be Penny’s feature line for all clothing groups; men’s, woman’s, kid’s, young adult’s and home furnishings. The brand will carry a 15% higher price point than their other lines.

The label itself shows incredible contempt for the American worker by having the bald eagle toting an American Flag then proudly claiming “US Quality Brand”. JCPenny has even used this emblem on the front of shirts, sweaters and even on shoes. In doing so they are exploiting the nationalistic pride we have in America to sell foreign made products. If they would have used American manufacturers I would whole heartedly support the line.

We visited a JCPenny’s store yesterday and when checking the lables we found the following: “Made in Jordan”, “Made in China”, “Made in Vietnam”, “Made in Taiwan”, “Made in Philippines”, “Made in Honduras”, “Made in Macau”.

The closest we get to the US was “Made in Northern Mariana Islands (US)”
View their commercials. DO NOT BUY From JCPenny and be sure to tell them that you will boycott their stores until they start selling American Pride by selling American products.

The Great Exploitation Of The American Worker


JCPenny is using Americana to sell their new line called “AmericanLiving”. With pictures of kids on tractors, seniors enjoying the American way of life, families on vacation, marching bands and young ballerinas they are shamelessly trying to use the pride we have in America to sell foreign products.

Just view their commercials and then try to find a label that says “Made in America”. Boycott JCPenny and let them know what you think. E-Mail link.

Hillary's News



From A LA Times Blog TOP OF THE TICKET Hillary’s held a rally in Texas that had “seating” room only. Clinton spokesperson said: "These accommodations should in no way be taken as a comment on the quality of our media coverage." (But if you’re not careful next time it will be the Ladies Room)

Sharper Image Gift Cards - The New Collectors Item


My intent was to lambast the mean corporations that cheated their customers out of a few bucks by refusing to redeem the gift cards they had sold them and turning them into collector items. As it turns out a gift card is “loan” to the company to be repaid in merchandise at a future date. So if you have a gift card the company is not allowed to “repay” your loan until the court decides who gets what. But then I have never heard of a bankruptcy proceeding where the customers who were cheated were also represented.

We need a change in the bankruptcy law that puts employees and customers before other financial creditors.

As it turns out the
Sharper Image story is interesting. Wikipedia takes a good look at the company along with some links to background stories. The building of this brand started in 1977 and their growth was based on adult gadgetry, soon after the Ionic Breeze hit the store shelves it dominated their product line. That same product turned out to contaminate the environment with the very agent that it was designed to remove; ozone. Law suits ensued and the Ionic Breeze was discontinued. With the loss of their numeral uno product to drive traffic to their stores a steady decline in customer counts and sales was initiated.

Journalists familiar with the company have estimated that they will shutter about halve of their stores. But at the time of the bankruptcy they only had $700,000 in cash, without significant additional funding they just don’t have the bucks to close only halve. They will be forced to do an over-night skedaddle leaving customers, employees and vendors on the hook.

Feb 19, 2008

There is no Housing Crisis

There is no real estate crisis. There is a wash-out of speculators in the areas where prices were driven by that speculation along with a serious lack of interest for property in the great shrinking rust-belt. Quality loans at extremely low rates are readily available to “A” borrowers.

What it should be called is the “bad exotic vehicle bubble”. The investment banks made a ton by repackaging high-risk/high-interest mortgages into a more complicated structured investment vehicles like CDO’s and SIV’s. When a mortgage becomes part of one of these, the normally straight forward mortgage accounting rules get fuzzed-up, allowing the bank to book a greater portion of the anticipated interest as an asset. This became the trough that the fattest of the hogs ate.

The write-downs that are dominating the financial media space are just a reversal of the “profits” that these investments banks have already booked that would of never happened if normal accounting rules had applied in the first place. The 25 top players in this game lost more than $100 billion in 2007 and that number could be doubled if you add in the next 100 or so regional banks, retirement funds and investment trusts that bought into the higher rates that the CDO’s and the SIV’s offered.

As the default rate for exotic mortgages started to increase and the market for these securities dried up, the speculators lost their biggest tool that allowed them to acquire their properties. When the speculators were stymied, housing prices flattened out and in the most active areas, declined. This gave the creators of these investment vehicles, having New York as their play ground, an opportunity to blame their potential negative exposure on a housing crisis.

Our largest investment banks enticed the financial media by leaking the assumption that they had billions in exposure, all because of unscrupulous and corrupt mortgage brokers. The fact that none of these brokers would exist if it weren’t for the eagerness of the investment banks to purchase these loans, with very lucrative commissions attached, from the very brokers they now blamed. With sub-prime, alt-a and jumbo mortgages becoming prohibitively expensive, the housing market produced a constant supply of bad news that eventually sucked in even Congress. As expected they produced a landmark deal with the Treasury that accomplishes nothing, a months grace after three months of non activity is just the solution that will definitively save the market.

The financial media was also instrumental in determining the Feds current disposition. By presenting one economist, guru, potentate and mogul after another calling for rate cuts, they created a public ground swell that anything but substantial cuts would have demonstrated that the Fed was out of touch with the real world. This frenzy to inject liquidation into the economy has little to do with the housing crisis and all to do with the fact that Wall Street loves cheap money. These same investment banks are now able to book enormous profits because their cost of capital has come down so low.

When thecost of money comes down and liquidity is added to our system, the banks have money to put to work and credit standards loosen. The resulting effect of “easy credit” is always an upturn in the default rate and the banks respond by tightening those same standards. Our economy has always had swings from loose credit to tight credit and back again, the difference here is we are just entering a period where credit is starting to tighten and the Fed is literally dumping liquidity on top of a tightening market. At this point it just doesn’t matter how much money is available, if someone doesn’t qualify they will not get the loan.

The credit crunch is definitely spreading; lenders are tightening standards on all types of loans and investors have lost their appetite for “exotic” instruments that can’t be accurately valued. This is just a normal swing that happens after an abuse. The fact that “UBS AG and Credit Suisse Group last week announced the write-down of a combined $400 million” should not come as a surprise. In this atmosphere where write-downs are expected there will never be a better time to clean-up your books. They could even be tilting the books to favor future profits; this is not an unknown concept to investment banks.

As far as these write-downs being a forward looking indicator of the future doom that our corporations will experience, is quite a stretch. Our economic slow-down will have it’s casualties but for the most part our corporations are sitting on enormous cash positions, the street anticipates them to start spending these cash hoards providing the impetuses for another growth cycle in our economy.