Mar 31, 2009

Cavuto and Limbaugh Agree That Retirees Should Save The Auto Industry

In today’s shows both Neil Cavuto and Rush Limbaugh made articulate recitations on the need for retirees to take it on the chin to allow the auto companies the opportunity to get themselves out of their current predicament. There are some issues that I’d like to argue.

First would be Cavuto's reference to the steel industry. Unlike the current situation that the retirement funds of the auto workers are in, the steel workers retirement funds were massively overfunded. Wall Street came up with the scheme that would allow them to purchase these companies using the employee pension funds as their preferred funding source. After a few take-over’s any weakening in the economy was enough to tank them, forcing the fed to assume their pension responsibilities.

You can argue that it was the cheap Japanese imports that caused the steel industries failure, but the pension funds were fully funded prior to the long series take over’s that raided their pension funds.

Next would be the assumption that the retirees have to accept reduced benefits so that the companies can be saved. That may be the case today but if these companies were forced to adequately fund their commitments instead of filling the funds with promises; we would not be in this position today.

Today everyone is falling all-over themselves to save companies where managements have taken their companies to the brink of failure because of some past decision that were made to obtain some short term gain. At some point we have to make companies live up to the agreements made to their staff or it will be open season on retirees forever.

Obama's Plan On Autos - Take Over The Pension Funds

The unions AND the auto companies want Obama to land the big one; the retiree’s pension responsibilities. Neither one wants that on their plate.

I believe that Obama has a deal with the unions that trade major concessions by the auto unions in return for Card Check and government guarantees on the pension funds.

The one issue that is never discussed are the workers that have put in their forty years and are demonized for having a retirement plan that is inferior to the average politician. The unions knew that this would happen when they made the deal, and the autos were more than happy to squeeze their way out of negotiations with just a promise of future payment.

Feb 24, 2009

Cramer Nailed It - The Perfect Bank Bailout Plan
A Parody

Tonight on his CNBC show Mad Money, Cramer presented his own bailout plan that should take care of both the housing crisis and a weakened financial system.

The first step that Obama should do is to purchase preferred non-voting stock from banks that require additional cash to meet a conservative asset-to-liability ratio. These preferred would carry a low percentage of interest and would be repurchased by the bank and not converted to common. That would protect shareholders from having their investment diluted and the banks from Nationalization.

The second phase would be to offer current and new home owners a 40 year fixed-rate government backed mortgage at 4%. This would reduce mortgage payments sufficiently so that most people could afford their payment even if they currently have negative equity. This would give those home owners time to turn negative equity around, bring new life to the housing market and make home ownership available to a wider range of people.

Obama at first dismissed these ideas as just chatter from the Chattering Class. But no one can accuse Obama of not being sharp. We’ll let the banks issue newly printed preferred non-voting stock and in exchange they will get newly printed dollars. Both the newly printed dollars and the newly shares will have about the same value that would make it an even trade. Besides, when the time comes he’ll just change his mind, a politician’s prerogative, and convert those preferred and we’ll end up owning those banks for next to nothing.

The government backed mortgage program had him confused for only a moment, he soon realized that this program could achieve the pinnacle of his dreams. As long as these sponsored mortgages had an inflation clause, when the dollar tanks by the endless printing of greenbacks, almost all families in America would be living in government owned housing.

Consumer Confidence Records All-time Low
Obama Promises New Stimulus Will Finish the Pesky Index before the End of His First Term - A Parody

The New York-based Conference Board issued their monthly reading on consumer confidence at an all time low of 25, the lowest reading since the indexes start in 1967. January’s reading was an extremely low 37.4 and last February was a 76.4. The professionals that prognosticate such things saw a 35 in February and there were rumors that several of them were seen running through the halls of Congress cheering that finally there is something with a lower rating than Congress. The cheering soon ended when someone reminded the Representatives and Senators that only 12% (February’s Rasmussen Poll) of the American people think that Congress is doing a good job.

President Obama, when hearing the news, immediately called together his Cabinet of tax cheats, Lobbyists and a token Republican, rumored to be a senior Pennsylvania Senator, who together laid out a plan that will insure that the remaining 25 points left on the Index would be gone by the end of Obama’s first term. Obama wasn’t sure they could hit ZERO by the end of his first term but approved the measure anyway because he felt sure that it would work by the end of his second or third.

How Is Your 401/Retirement Plan Doing?
Because It Is Still The Largest Pool of $$ Left to Raid

The American dream is under attack; better paying jobs are being shipped overseas, our larger companies and universities are contracting out jobs to companies that import H-1B Visa holders that receive lower wages and fewer benefits, the cost of sending our children to university often requires taking out a second mortgage, a major illness can wipe out 40 years of work and saving and now our retirement funds are disappearing.

Craig M. Douglas and Tim McLaughlin penned an article about Boston’s mutual fund companies with major stakes in Citi Group. The largest holder of Citi stock, which have fallen 68% just this year, is Fidelity Investments which purchased an additional 100 million shares in the last quarter of 2008. As I read this article I thought of my previous employer that had their 401k through Fidelity and my son who also has his 401k with Fidelity. At the end of 2008 his fund had lost more than 50%.

It’s more than plausible that a majority of Americans have lost as much as 75% of their retirement. Already we have seen our steel workers retirement being taken over by the government. The auto workers who have worked 40 years building for their retirement are watching as Congress and the media demonizes them for bringing down the auto industry. Wasn’t this accomplished by an auto industry that made promises to workers then failed to provide the funding needed to fulfill those commitments?

The private sector isn’t the only part of our economy that is reeling from the obligations made to future retirees. Many communities offered lavish retirement programs to their leadership only to find themselves under a burden that they are no longer able to fund. Communities have a severe need to raise capital for human services, infrastructure repairs, police and fire services only to find that any increase in revenues are being eaten up by retirement liabilities.

Every week we pay 14% of our gross income to Social Security and Medicare; our esteemed politicians and economists have told us that both will be bankrupt in twenty years. That is if the Federal Government pays back what it has borrowed from it. There has been numerous papers written stating that the retirement age has to be moved up while benefits have to be cut if the Social Security Administration is to survive.

Even the last bastion of retirement security is being taken away from us. With property values dropping in most areas of the country, the equity that many had planned on using for their retirement has disappeared. The family home is the single largest retirement saving investment that Americans have used, that investment has also taken a 25% haircut.

All of this is happening while the government is the only part of the economy that is growing. The future demands for our tax dollars also has to grow which means that we will have less to work with. Even as our weekly checks will grow by a massive $13, the government seems to be on a consumption tax spree. Proposed increases in our taxes are in the pipeline for everything from a 50% increase in the fuel tax, a 150% increase in cigarette taxes, a massive carbine emissions tax will cause our electricity costs to increase (again), water and sewer fees will have to increase as new mandates come on line and the continuing need for school and education funding will affect our property tax.

The only answer I have is counter to the advice of our government; not to consume, not to spend and become even more conservative than I already am.

Jan 16, 2009

News Is Out – Circuit City Is DOA

It was just reported on CNBC that a proposed buy-out by the Golden Gate Group, that would salvage Circuit City as a going concern, fell through. The handful of liquidation companies that were standing by are coordinating their efforts that will result in about 35,000 being laid off. So far there is no announcement from the company, but I doubt that any useful information would be in it anyway. Good luck to a very large group of people that have stuck by while Circuit City tried to make the best of a bad situation.

Does Low Wages Equal Strong Management
Circuit City Is Now Hiring – Cheap

Dec 12, 2008

Bank Of America Sending 35,000 Packing, Bad News For Merrill Workers

In July Bank of America announced that they would be slashing CountryWide staff down to 7,500 from a high of 50,600 in 2007. That’s 85%. If past deeds is a prediction of future action then BofA will be shrinking Merrill significantly. Some layoffs have already occurred but my guess would be that three out of five Merrill employees will be pink-slipped out. That would account for the 35,000 announced cuts.

If you have any specifics please post them in our comment section.

From
Dealbreaker.com: “Bank of America is said to be planning on canning half of its New York equity trading desk in the next 2-4 weeks.”

Sony Closing Last TV Manufacturing Plant In U.S.

From NETWORKWORLD: “Sony has named its Westmoreland, Pennsylvania, plant as the second factory of a planned 5 or 6 that will be shut down as part of a global restructuring. The factory is Sony's last remaining TV manufacturing facility in the U.S. and the closure will see 560 people lose their jobs.”

The plant which manufactures 46” and 52” LCD TVs will stop production in February and the facility will be completely shuttered in March 2010 when Sony also closes their east-cost logistics operations. Sony will now manufacture these TVs in Baja, Mexico.

Westmoreland County web site post this in October: “The park, located in East Huntingdon and Hempfield Townships, further bolsters Westmoreland County’s major employment zone surrounding the Sony Technology Center.”

Here is an interesting comment on
MSN QnA Beta by toadhead: “There are no TV currently manufactured in the USA."

"The last one I new of were Phillips not a US company but they had a manufacturing plant in Missouri . As I understand it Wal-Mart said they would not sell there equipment, essentially unless they moved manufacturing to China so they would be cheaper and contain more lead, so they did. That was a few years ago all the other manufactures of TV have also moved over seas.”

Nov 28, 2008

Motorola The Falling Star


In the past I have had minimal dealings with the Motorola organization and each time their arrogance left me with a desire to find someone else to work with. I only grieve for the workers being jettisoned from this sinking ship.

From InternetNews.com: “Gartner's market analysis for mobile handset makers, released today, now rates Motorola (NYSE: MOT) in fourth place behind Nokia, Samsung and Sony Ericsson in global sales.”
Motorola Slips in Worldwide Sales

From the chicagotribune.com: “Motorola reported a net loss of $397 million, or 18 cents a share, in the third quarter, down from a net profit of $60 million, or 3 cents a share, in the same period last year.”
Motorola posts hefty 3Q loss, delays spinoff

From USA Today: ”The maker of communications gear said it would get rid of 3,000 jobs by April, with about 2,000 of them coming from the cellphone unit. The company last announced 2,600 job cuts in April.”
Motorola posts big loss, plans to cut 3,000 jobs

From cnet.com: “The iconic American technology company Motorola is in big trouble. But can a last ditch effort by a new top executive help the company pull one of the biggest comebacks in American business history?”
Motorola's struggle for survival

From BusinessWeek: “The company's falling star at AT&T, the largest U.S. mobile-phone carrier, underscores Motorola's persistent failure to release handsets that grab the attention of consumers and the service providers whose marketing is crucial to sales.”
Motorola's Market Share Mess

From rerwireless.com: “It will eliminate about 120 of the 600 positions in Motorola Labs, the unit responsible for basic research in everything from cellphones to radio technology,…”
Moto to cut jobs from R&D unit

More
thin gray line articles

Nov 27, 2008

Citi Is A Town Full Of Problems


Their exposure doesn't stop with sub-prime, with hundreds of billions in off-the-books liability, they still have hard times in front of them. Substantial problems in commercial paper, credit cards and autos are still to come, where do they go from here?

From an AP article on RGJ.com: “The government has decided that guaranteeing hundreds of billions of dollars in possible losses and injecting $20 billion more into Citi trumps the alternative: a panic that could leave retirement accounts and investment portfolios of millions of ordinary Americans in tatters and shove more people out of jobs.”
Analysis: Why Citi had to be rescued

View from the Radcliff India: “There's only one reason to agree to such terms, says Ellison: to stay alive."There are capitalists all over the place, but no one wanted to do the deal," he adds. "This is chemo. They need this capital to stay alive."”
If Citi's in such a mess, what about other banks?

From the WSJ online: “The Bush administration's rescue of
Citigroup Inc. is creating new confusion about the government strategy to shore up volatile markets.”
Uncertainty on Strategy in Citi Rescue

From the Arab News: “Citibank went into overseas markets long before its competitors and often secured an inside track by attending to the financial needs of government elites and leading local organizations.”
Editorial: Implications of Citibank bailout


From an AP article in the Columbus Dispatch: “Citigroup Inc. said yesterday that it will slash 53,000 more jobs in the coming months… Earlier this year, the New York-based financial giant trimmed 22,000 jobs.”
Citigroup shedding 53,000 positions

Citibank is cutting another 53,000 from its payroll, on top of the 22,000 job cuts it has already announced. This follows at least 17,000 last year.

Previous Citibank articles

Nov 7, 2008

The Insult Is Complete At LandAmerica


In August of 2007 I wrote an article, LandAmerica Leaves Much To Be Admired, little did I know that my LandAmerica article would have such a lasting quality. There may be only 11 comments but the consistency tells a condemning story of a company whose management can guide the ship during calm seas but are clueless as soon as the seas get rough.

It looks as if the final insult to the good people at LandAmerica will come from the $150 million in synergies Fidelity National will achieve
(from their Press Release) by this merger. To me it doesn’t look like a merger, it looks as if Fidelity is buying their accounts & agents and will be laying off the majority of LandAmerica’s staff that still remains after a year of endless layoffs.

As much as I dislike giving attorneys money, it would seem prudent for the LandAmerica employees to secure legal consul to ensure that they receive any and all compensation promised. At this point of the merger any legal action would have to be dealt with expeditiously. If anyone has retained consul, please post their consuls contact information on the comment section below so others may join as a group.

Good Luck and Best Wishes to all of LandAmerica’s staff.

Oct 9, 2008

Some Unexpected Good News For The Economy

One and a half years ago I criticized numerous economists for their rosy opinions of our economy. Life is great and there is nothing to worry about from here to eternity. There were hundreds of economists snubbing those of us posting our opinions that there were clear and distinctive warning signs that the leveraging taking place by the biggest and most successful investments banks, Freddie & Fannie and a handful of brokers, like Countrywide or New Century that wanted to act like an investment bank, were in serious trouble.

But last week Phil Izzo printed the results from a team of 56 economists that comprise the Wall Street Journal Economist Board. The board believes by a margin of 89% that we are headed into a recession of at least 2 quarters. That is negative GDP for 6 straight months; some believe that it will last longer.

That is the best news I’ve heard in a long time because this is the same board was wrong about the effects that the housing downturn. If they were wrong then it’s a good bet that they are wrong now. I’m going out and buying options for January.

Oct 5, 2008

What Is A Derivative

No one is asking the right questions.

Since the government has now committed to purchase $700,000,000,000 (I think I’ve gotten all the zeros right) in the toxic paper that the banks, domestic and foreign, are holding as assets on their books, I felt it was time to give my vast audience my view of what the government will be purchasing with our tax dollars.


Dictionary.com explains simply: a financial contract whose value derives from the value of underlying stocks, bonds, currencies, commodities, etc. Riskglossary.com defines derivative as: A derivative instrument (or simply derivative) is a financial instrument which derives its value from the value of some other financial instrument or variable.

OK, that tells us that a derivative is a contract-on-a-contract. But what is in these contracts that the average American will now own. Why have the banks cut the value in financial instruments to the point that causes them to go out of business?

Money was raised for home and commercial mortgages by issuing bonds. The banks that originated the mortgage would sell it to someone like Fannie, Freddie or one of the other commercial banks. They would bundle the mortgages and send them to the rating agencies. The rating agencies would rate the best of the bunch as AAA and the rest could be divided up into 15 lower ratings. Since many pension funds, insurance companies, financial institutions or investment groups require a AAA rating on the bonds they purchase, the lower rated bonds have to pay a premium interest rate to entice the sale of these bonds.


That’s where derivatives come in. Thanks to the Community Reinvestment Act of 1977 and its’ reworking in 1995, Congress allowed the banks to become more inventive with the way they sell and fund mortgages. The lower rated bonds are re-bundled with other contracts that could be anything from options and warrants (a contract allowing the purchase of stock at a future date at a specified price), or other types of debt obligations to other bonds themselves. This process snowed the rating agencies to re-rate 96% of the lower rated securities as AAA.

We don’t know what we’re buying. We don’t know what we’re paying for it. But we’re sure it is going to work and hey, we could even make something. This is from the people that voted multiple times against increased regulations to control Fannie and Freddie.

The point is that no one is asking the right questions. The banks and the rating agencies have records to show what is in each of these bundles, but I have not heard one banker or politician ask for that information. It’s time a little light is thrown on this stuff. How can we effectively regulate if we don’t know what we’re regulating. No more free passes.

Sep 29, 2008

Congress - Trust Lost

Michael Scherer in his article, A Failure Of Leadership and posted on Time's blog Swampland, expresses what most of us know but haven't put into words yet. At least by the media.

It seems that the American people would rather face economic ruin than put their trust in today's Congress.

Vote our incumbants out.

Sep 24, 2008

E-Verify Must Be Renewed


E-mail your congressmen, find it here, now and tell them that you will never vote for them again if they do not authorize the E-Verify Bill for another five years. Not the temporary six month extension they are trying to slip through Congress that will effectively put the issue off till after the election.

E-Verify works and is one of the few programs our government does that actually protects American Jobs. Please act now. Numbers can change things, make yours count.

Democrats Preserve American Jobs With “President Obama’s” Coin


In keeping with their convention pledge to protect, promote and grow American jobs, the Democrats have contracted with Windsor, Elizabeth & Windsor, an UK company, to produce 300 limited edition commemorative silver coins for the Democratic Party to hand out to key members of the campaign to elect Obama.

By utilizing an English company to hand-craft these commemoratives, the Democrats are saving Americans the arduous task of producing these high quality keep-sakes. Since the average contribution to the Obama campaign is approximately $65, 2,300 hard working Americans have contributed to the Obama Campaign so that our Democratic Congressmen, Governors and party Dignitaries can have these valuable collectibles and admire there English craftsmanship.

After our Democratic Leadership has received these commemoratives, WEW plans to give the average American the opportunity to purchase the “Obama – The President” Commemoratives. These coins should gain considerably in value since this is the first time a Presidential Commemorative has been produced prior to the election.

This also gives the Republicans an opportunity to save the economy millions of barrels of oil by not having to drive to the polls to vote.


The picture of the commemorative being produced is from the Birmingham Post.net.

Jun 27, 2008

Dell Computer: Déjà vu 8,800 Last Year, 8,800 This Year

Last year I wrote an article: Dell Computers; Layoffs, Issues And More Layoffs. At that time I had no idea that I would be writing practically the same article this year. But Dell is like their service, consistently bad.

Dell has never given out straight forward information about their plans for staff reductions but rather they throw out a target number for the national business media and the small local layoffs get reported on in the smaller news markets around the country. The most accurate information has come from a NETWORKWORLD article by Dan Nystedt and reports that Dell has already completed 3,200 layoffs with another 5,200 happening soon.

Even though desktop computer sales improved by 10% last year, they will be closing their desk top facility in Austin, Texas and many that aren’t losing their jobs will be forced to take unpaid time off.

For more than a year Dell has been going through an audit that they claim was caused by certain departments fudging their numbers. As a result they will restate their earnings reports from 2002 through 2006 by a mere $150 million. That's a lot of fudge.

Dell is also being sued on two fronts, first for not performing on their extended warranties sold directly to customers and second for falsely advertising the terms being offered by their company owned financial arm. It has been reported that Dell’s financing division is now up for sale.

Dell, IBM, Intel, Cisco, HP and Microsoft have all gazed into the crystal ball and have seen their future in Asia and India. Doing business in the U.S. has just become too tenuous.

Jun 26, 2008

Gloucester Pregnancies – Bush Did IT!

Of course this depends on the meaning of “it”.

Earlier this week I watched the press conference held by Gloucester Mayor Carolyn Kirk concerning the high pregnancy rate at their high school. The story of a "pregnancy pact," by at least eight students, was reported on by Time Magazine who listed Principal Joseph Sullivan as their source. Since then Principal Sullivan has been mum and because of privacy concerns only several girls have come forward who claim no knowledge of a “pact.”

What amazed me about the press conference was that Mayor Kirk insinuated that sex education has been cut because of Bush’s No Child Left Behind Program. Yes, it was Bush’s fault that these girls got pregnant. Since the mandated program was under funded the school system had no choice but to cut other programs such as Sex Ed. The fact that Governor Patrick refused to accept a $700,000 funding package to help pay for abstinence training had nothing to do with it.

What would have happened if these girls took a virginity pact, for sure there would much less attention and publicity, I would also assume they wouldn’t become the Prom Queen. But then at least they would have a Prom without a baby strapped to their back.

What media ignore about teen pregnancy pact by Jill Stanek

Principal Sullivan has just issued a written public statement.

The Media Spotlight Catches Nielsen Outsourcing, Downgrading Full-Time Too Part-Time And Aggressively Abusing H-1B Visas

Theresa Blackwell penned a very good article in the St. Petersburg Times on the commitment by the powers at Nielsen to do everything possible to cut payroll. The controversy justifiably received national attention on the Lou Dobbs Show who emphasized the H-1B Visa abuse. Nielsen while putting Americans out of work is replacing the positions with H-1B Visa holders from India.

I’ve consistently written about H-1B Visa abuse and how companies, tech companies and our universities in particular, have shamelessly imported staff where there should have been more than a sufficient supply of qualified Americans to fill the positions. The only motive for the push to hire foreign staff would be to cap salary ranges.

From Ms. Blackwell’s article:

“Just four days ago, Nielsen gave up $3.1-million in future incentives for creating new jobs in Oldsmar, saying the controversy over the government money had become a distraction for employees and a source of conflict with the city.”

This would not be such a controversy or distraction if the Nielsen Company wasn’t absolutely committed to replacing U.S. workers with H-1B Visa holders.

One other point of contention that the article brings up but does not emphasize is the ratio of full time to part time employees at their Dunedin facility. With 4.4 part-time or temporary workers to every full-timer demonstrates that a desire to cut costs by cutting benefits.

Would this be the type of company you want to work for; maybe if you’re from India. You can browse the Nielsen Careers Page here.

Our Universities Have To Go Offshore To Find Talent
Companies Hiding Offshoring
LSI - More “Partnering” Lay Offs Coming To Kansas City?
Sun Micro's Jonathan Schwartz The Genius?
American Axle Moving More Jobs Out Of The U.S.
California Sending DMV Data To Mexico
Altria Optimizes Worldwide Cigarette Production
Dell Computers; Layoffs, Issues And More Layoffs
Freightliner The Long Haul From North Carolina To Mexico
IBM An Extreme View On Offshoring

Country of Origin COOL Will Finally Happen

According to the USDA website: “On May 13, 2002, the Farm Security and Rural Investment Act of 2002, more commonly known as the 2002 Farm Bill, became law.” This legislation was delayed twice and is now scheduled to be implemented September 8, this year.

The part that doesn’t make sense is that the fruit, meat and vegetables that we import are already identified, on the outside of there packaging, with the country of origin. It would be a small inconvenience to carry that information to the display. The only reasoning for not posting the Country of Origin with the product being sold would be that the retailer doesn’t want to handle the questions or comments that their customers might have.

But this is a huge step forward in the fight to keep jobs in America. Would Hershey be so aggressive in their closing of the Reading, Pa, plant if they knew that their Peppermint Patty Brand would have to be labeled “Hecho en Mexico”